Keeneland Select

Churchill Downs Hotlist - November 21

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

Hot List Key:

A : A preferred horse to watch                   B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

1st race – (1)  First Player was claimed by Asmussen off a second and can prevail from the rail. (2) Authentic Gallop might wake up back on dirt. (5) Hailstorm could make some noise here.  Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-5.

3rd race – (4) Morlock takes a big class drop and should be able to handle this field. (9) Lebombo has been second in 4 of 14 starts and can complete the exacta again. (3) Come to Papa is worth a look off the Sharp claim. (1) Mo Town Jazz will be helped by a dry track. Betting strategy: 4 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-4-9.

5th race – (6) East Village can work out a winning trip in this field. (7) Infiltrate could be tough to catch here. (3) Easy Wind belongs in the exotics. (1) So Special will benefit from a rail trip.  Betting strategy: 6 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-6-7.

7th race – (9) Moon Over Choctaw will enjoy a class drop into a claimer and can post a victory. (4) Brunch With Amy looms as the one to fear. (1) Aunt Mo has speed and may hang around from the rail. (2) Feasible should benefit from the added distance. Betting strategy: 9 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-4-9.

9th race – (1) Gun Party should revert to top form on a dry track. (7) Catching Freedom should be poised for a big try in his third start after a layoff. (3) Best Actor didn’t fire in a graded stakes. Fits better here. (4) Not This Boy looks like the one to catch in the stretch. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-4-7.