Keeneland Select

Churchill Downs Hotlist - November 30

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

Hot List Key:

A : A preferred horse to watch                   B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

1st race – (5)  Start to Win drops into a claimer for the first time and looks best. (8) Crazy Diamond drops after a second and should be a key threat. (3) White Whale may like the two-turn distance. (1) Wartank is eligible to rebound off the Amoss claim.  Betting strategy: 5  to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-5-8.

3rd race – (5) Madison’s Charm rallied for second in her debut and gets the job done here. (6) Fire Moon is a firster who merits attention. (3) Texas Queen may like the switch to dirt. (2) Long Tail Sally could be in the mix despite an 11-month layoff. Betting strategy: 5 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-3-5-6. Doubles: 2-3-5-6 with 3-4-9-10.

4th race – (4) Vasy had a wide trip last time and should work put a better one here. (3) High Honors will be well-suited by the shorter distance. (10) Frontier Justice has speed and can hang around until the end. (9) Ship Serve seems primed for a good effort in his first start. Betting strategy: 4 to win, place. Exacta box: 3-4-9-10.

8th race – (1) Ravens Dream won his last and could control the race from the rail. (2) Focusyn steps up while in sharp form. (5) Suncroft has speed and can hang around until the end. (6) Bergen might respond to a surface switch. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-5-6.

11th race – (8) Scotland won this stakes last year and can make it two in a row. (2) Implementation rarely turns in a poor effort. (3) Moonlight will be helped by a fast pace. (5) This Is Uscar will be a contender off his best effort. Betting strategy: 8 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-3-5-8.