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Keeneland Select

Churchill Downs Hotlist - November 4

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

Hot List Key:

A : A preferred horse to watch                   B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

1st race – (4) Missy Tappy Tone (A) missed by a neck last time and will make amends here. (5) Fast Gal was second last time and can be the main rival. (2) Steel Racer fits in this field. Betting strategy: 4 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-4-5.

3rd race – (1) Aunt Jo should control the race from the rail. (5) Proud Performer seems dangerous in this spot. (7) The Princess Says she will benefit from a turf to dirt move. (3) Valiant Praise gets help from a class drop. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-5-7.

5th race – (1) Pinfire was second in his first try on turf and looks like the one to beat. (6) Be There should move up back on turf. (4) Tasterfor the King add blinkers and figures to be a factor. (8) Cuore Sacro could wake up here. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place.  Exacta box: 1-4-6-8.

9th race – (3) War Campaign  was a good second last time at Keeneland and should prevail here. (2) Confidence Game faltered off a 5 ½-month layoff. Figures to be tighter today. (6) Giant Game is a big threat in this spot. (4) Big Blue Line should be a stretch threat in this field. Betting strategy: 3 to win, place.  Exacta box: 2-3-4-6.

11th race – (7) Edgartown was second in his first two starts but seems ready to graduate. (6) Polar Bear Plunge was hurt by a wide trip last time and should get a second chance.  (4) British Sea could bounce back with a good effort here. (1) Sharon’s Prince might land in the exotics from the rail.  Betting strategy: 7 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-4-6-7.

No.Letter/Last raceToday’s race  Comment     
  (4)Miss Tappy ToneA, 10/121 CDJust missed by a neck