Keeneland Select

Churchill Downs Hotlist - October 30

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

Hot List Key:

A : A preferred horse to watch                   B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

1st race – (5) Bernin Hot seeks a third straight win and looks best here. (6) Seas of Normandy could find smooth sailing here. (3) Cawkab debuts for Amussen and merits attention. Betting strategy: 5 to win, place. Exacta box: 3-5-6.

3rd race – (5) Youalmosthadme has been no worse than third in 11 straight races and is a standout here. (6) Halina’s Forte drops out of a graded stakes and will enjoy the class relief. (2) Legadema fit nicely here. Betting strategy: 5 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-5-6. Doubles: 2-5-6 with 2-3-5-7.

4th race – (7) Fun to Run drops in class and should handle this field. (5) Two Timer might wake up here. (3) Divineintervention should fare better in a claimer. (2) Lovebug has speed and may be tough to catch. Betting strategy: 7 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-3-5-7.

7th race – (7) Islander should appreciate the added distance in this spot. (2) Sonhador looks like the one to fear. (3) Happy Talk has been away since March but I training smartly. (6) Barbanera might fare better on a dry track. Betting strategy: 7 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-3-6-7.

9th race - (6) Attache could lead throughout here. (8) Miracle Worker was second last time and looms the main threat. (9) Senior Officer should be closing quickly at the end. (10) Linebacker cannot be ignored here. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place. Exacta box: 6-8-9-10.