Keeneland Select

Churchill Downs Hotlist - October 31

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

Hot List Key:

A : A preferred horse to watch                   B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

1st race – (7)  Progeny won his last start and can make it two in a row here. (3) Argan comes off a sharp win and should be a main threat. (2) Demi should be closing quickly at the end. (1) Altered Shot could wake up off the Sharp claim. Betting strategy: 7 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-3-7. Doubles: 1-2-3-7 with 2-5-6-7.

2nd race – (6) Miss Call was a good third in a stakes and gets the nod here. (5) Revel Toast was a decisive maiden winner and should be the main threat. (7) Grand Luxx won nicely last time and fits well here. (2) Hit Parade looked good in his dirt debut. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-5-6-7.

4th race – (7) Carolyncaroline returns to dirt and should welcome the change. (2) Baracca looked good in a debut win and could be the key foe. (1) Celebrity Quest should be closing at the end. (4) Tiz in Spirit has speed and could be hard to catch. Betting strategy: 7 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-4-7.

6th race – (10) McDude takes a big class drop and looks best here. (9) Brilliant Man closed for second and will be a big threat here. (4) Protective should thrive at this level. (8) Ask Arthur could be a threat in the final stages.  Betting strategy: 10 to win, place. Exacta box: 4-8-9-10.

8th race – (1) Cool Andy  has speed and the rail and should handle this field. (2) Polar Bear Plunge could warm up against these. (7) Ultimate Strike was hurt by a wide trip last time. (6) Fine Vino won big in his debut but faces tougher here.  Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-6-7.