Keeneland Select

Churchill Downs Hotlist - September 12

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

1st race – (3) Military Road comes off a nice win and claim by Hartman. (1) Excel Calculator gets a class drop and should be tough in this spot. (2) Fountain Run has plenty of speed and may not look back. (5) Saltwater Cowboy is worth a look off a huge win. Betting strategy: 3 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-3-5.

3rd race – (7) Summer Date drops into a claimer and should get a maiden win. (9) Patron Silver also faces claimers for the first time. (10) Don’s Joy had a rough trip last time. Merits a second look. (5) Risky Wave should welcome the added ground. Betting strategy: 7 to win, place. Exacta box: 5-7-9-10.

5th race – (3) Coach Pope was a strong second in his debut and should break hs maiden here. (2) Oblivion may improve off his debut. (7) Justification could be a factor here. (10) Vintage Warrior may be a factor in his debut. Betting strategy: 3 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-3-7-10.

8th race – (1) Pierette disappointed last time but has worked nicely since and can rebound with a big effort here. (2) Manuka Honey comes off two lopsided wins and will be the main rival. (6) Scarlett Begonia will welcome the added distance. (8) For the Win seems to be on the improve. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box:  1-2-6-8.

10th race - (7) Salahudin is 2-for-2 and looks best here. (6) Antivenom won impressively in his debut and should be a main threat. (9) Real Gone ships in off an easy win. (2) Blessed Flyer is 2-for-2 with a stakes win.  Betting strategy: 7 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-6-7-9.