Keeneland Select

Churchill Downs Hotlist - September 24

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

Hot List Key:

A : A preferred horse to watch                   B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

1st race – (2)  Scottish Storm turns back to a sprint while dropping into a claimer. Seems like a winning combination. (7) Lambo missed by a head and drops off the Hartman claim. (3) Bob’s Carrot returns to a claimer and could be hard to catch. (1) Honest Al should be a factor at this level. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-3-7

3rd race – (2) I Am Beautiful was freshened after a poor start in her second effort following a layoff. Could bounce back here. (6) Going Streakin may appreciate a surface switch.(8) In Awe of JuJu should make her presence felt. (5) Sweet Note was second at this level and cannot be ignored.  Betting strategy: 2 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-5-6-8.

5th race – (8) Kunshan Bridge drops to a level where he can register a win. (11) Ludwig takes a big and suspicious class drop. Can win for fun if all is OK.(2) Sutherland looms a main contender here. (5) Born Flawless switches barns and may wake up. Betting strategy: 8 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-5-8-11.

7th race – (4) Dragoon Guard was second as a favorite in his last two starts. Seems overdue for a win. (3) Honor Marie gets some class relief here and should be the main rival. (6) Best Actor will be dangerous off his best try. (7) Warrior Johny may rebound with a big effort here. Betting strategy: 4 to win, place. Exacta box: 3-4-6-7.

9th race – (8) Hey Boss was claimed by Rivelli and seems primed for a winning effort. (2) People Force could perk up off a surface switch and the addition of Gaffalione. (1) Forge in Fire will benefit from a rail trip. (6) Metaron’s Muse disappointed as a big favorite. Gets a second chance here. Betting strategy: 8 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-6-8.