Keeneland Select

Ellis Park Hotlist - July 11

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

Hot List Key:

A : A preferred horse to watch                   B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

1st race – (2) Bob’s Carrot has speed and should like the shorter distance. (7) Capital Connection can resume his winning ways in this spot. (3) Trouble Ahead will appreciate a return to a sprint. (1) Colonel Caliente has enjoyed some success at this level. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-3-7. Doubles: 1-2-3-7 with 1-2-4.

2nd race – (1) Nash Potatoes disappointed last time but can bounce back here. (2) Spurgeon didn’t fire after a slow start. Gets a second chance. (4) Alston should perk up back on dirt. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-4.

4th race – (3) Maiora was hurt by a wide trip last time. Should be able to save some ground here. (1) Legit Chick will  appreciate the added distance. (5) Astronova might pose a late threat. (6) Birch Run usually brings home a check. Betting strategy: 3 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-5-6.

6th race – (5) Ground Swell is working fast for his debut and gets the call. (2) Admiral’s Order acts like a promising runner. (9) Super Saiyajin flopped last time but may bounce back here. (3) Honkey Tonking should not be overlooked. Betting strategy: 5 to win, place. Exacta box:  2-3-5-9.

9th race - (1) Bon Voyage may find smooth sailing from the rail. (7) Crossfire looks like the one to fear. (12) Trim Castle belongs in the exotics. (11) King Crusher should be gaining ground at the end.  Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-7-11-12.