Keeneland Select

Ellis Park Hotlist - July 12

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

Hot List Key:

A : A preferred horse to watch                   B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

1st race – (4) Shadow Coast was claimed out of a solid win and can make it two in a row here. (5) De’ Medici should be a big threat at this level. (7) Mister Banderas could play a starring role in this field. (2) Military Road may wake up in a claimer. Betting strategy: 4 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-4-5-7.

3rdrace – (6) Mischief Mania was given a couple of months off after the Rice claim and may be ready for a strong effort. (2) Il Cavallino should like the shorter distance. (7) Midway Munny comes off a nice win and deserves attention. (8) Uncle Evco will be helped by a fast pace. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-6-7-8.

5th race – (6) Courageous Clay had a rough, wide trip last time and can make amends this time. (10) Melody Man has speed from the outside and looms the main threat. (5) Hellacious should fare better back on turf. (8) Happy Prince disappointed last time but seems capable of a better try. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place. Exacta box: 5-6-8-10.

7th race – (3) Wind Flower exits a convincing win at CD and looks best here. (4) She’s Lookin Lucky was second last time and seems the one to fear. (1) Amber Cascade makes her 2026 debut but has graded stakes experience. (7) Smiling Ellie should be a factor despite the outside post. Betting strategy: 3 to win, place. Exacta box:  1-3-4-7.

9th race - (5) Redhawk Riddler returns to turf, where she was a promising second in her debut. (9) Hey Miss Olivia was second in her debut and cannot be ignored. (10) Judicious has speed and can hang around until the end. (1) Heitzgirl will be helped by a rail trip. Betting strategy: 5 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-5-9-10.