By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman
Hot List Key:
A: A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worst
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
1st race – (1) Nantasket Beach should work out a winning trip from the rail. (2) Equivoque may relish a switch to turf. (10) Who’s the King may perk up on turf. (7) Bring Me a Check should be tough at this level.
2nd race – (6) Awesome Beast can rebound with a better effort here and register a win. (1) Celtic Pride has plenty of speed but has not raced since May. (8) Avant Glory should be in the mix. (10) Con Compania should take a step forward in his second US start.
3rd race - (9) Forged Steel looks best despite the outside post. (5) Wakan may emerge as the main foe. (4) Hit That Review will welcome a return to turf. (1) I’m Due will be dangerous from the rail.
4th race – The Orchid Stakes (G3) - (2) La Mehana gets Irad and also gets a slight nod in this field. (6) Beach Bomb looms as the biggest obstacle for the top choice. (4) Sacaya is a European who cannot be ignored. (1) Silvology should be closing in the final furlong.
5th race – (10) Makes Sense seems like a promising firster from Pletcher. (6) Mainstream is another talented firster. (11) Harbe may rebound if kept off the pace. (5) Thought Control merits attention here.
6th race – Pan American Stakes (G3) - (4) Far Bridge seems set for a solid 2025 debut. (7) Capture the Flag looks like the one to reel in. (1) Corruption will get a boost from a rail trip. (3) Cash Equity can make his presence felt here.
9th race – Gulfstream Park Oaks (G2) - (3) The Queens M G bounced back into top form last time and gets the call here. (4) Five G was second in the Honeybee and will be the key rival. (6) Cassiar is worth a look after a fast maiden win. (1) Paradise City exits a big win at this distance.
10th race – (3) Love Cervere had a rough trip last time and makes amends here. (2) Mrs. Worldwide missed by a neck and is the one to fear. (8) Bunratty Manor looked good in a front-running maiden win. (10) Classic Q looms a big threat despite the outside post.
11th race – (3) Implentation was a game second in a Grade 3 stakes and looks best here. (4) Knightsbridge is definitely the top foe. (1) Howgreatisnate will benefit from a speed duel. (5) Gordian Knot can be a factor on his best try.
12th race – (9) Buttercream Babe had a tough trip last time and is due for better racing luck. (12) In Our Time has sharp speed and will need to break quickly from the outside post. (1) Movin’ On Up cannot be ignored from the rail. (6) Breath Away fits in with these.
13th race – (9) Major Dude missed by a nose last time but can notch a win here. (6) Abrumar has plenty of class but has been away since August. (1) Axthelm may like the stretchout. (11) Ice Chocolat merits attention even though he has not raced since a Grade 3 win in June.
14th race – The Florida Derby (G1) - (8) Madaket Road ships cross-country for Baffert and should be hard to beat in this leading Kentucky Derby prep. (10) Sovereignty won the Fountain of Youth but faces a tough task from this post. (4) Disruptor could cause some trouble after a powerful maiden win. (9) Tappan Street was second in the Holy Bull and is on the upswing.