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Keeneland Select

Keeneland Hotlist - April 16

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

Hot List Key:

A : A preferred horse to watch                   B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

1st race – (5) Satisfied Mind put in a fast gate work and should win at first asking for Ward. (2) Evolution gets Irad for her debut and merits attention. (1) Vibora looks like another talented firster from Ward. (9) Daring Move merits some consideration. Betting strategy: 5 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-5-9.

3rd race – (5) Gilmore seems set for a sharp try off the stretchout. (8) Slip Mahoney could be a ready for a nice showing after a layoff since August. (3) Release McCraken cannot be ignored here. (4) Baby Voss is worth a look off the claim. Betting strategy: 5 to win, place. Exacta box: 3-4-5-8. Doubles: 3-4-5-8 with 4-9-10-11.

4th race – (10) Double Barrel takes a big class drop and looks best here. (9) Oddsontony may perk up on dirt. (11) Panthor could be a threat with a surface change. (4) Cause a Ruckus should improve on dirt. Betting strategy: 4 to win, place. Exacta box: 4-9-10-11.

6th race – (6) Augusta Melody should benefit from his comeback start and may work out a winning trip. (8) Trust Issues will appreciate a return to dirt. (5) Darioush was an impressive debut winner and belongs in the exotics. (3) Justifreak will be a threat on his best try.  Betting strategy: 6 to win, place. Exacta box: 3-5-6-8. Doubles: 3-5-6-8 with 2-3-9-12.

7th race – (9) Saturday Flirt has not raced since June but is working nicely for her comeback. (2) Tales of the Heart is an interesting foreign import. (3) Latin Fever looks like another talented newcomer to the US. (12) Big Trouble could pose some problems with his late kick. Betting strategy: 9 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-3-9-12.