Keeneland Select

Keeneland Hotlist - April 16

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

Hot List Key:

A : A preferred horse to watch                   B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

1st race – (1) Emirates Affair  has speed and can  control the pace from the rail at this level. (3) Devil of Paradis could be a threat back on dirt. (4) Sunset Harbour may like the shorter distance. (6) Coastline Hottie is worth a look here. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-4-6.

3rd race – (7) Conquering Marin may move forward off an useful US debut from post 12. (2) Gelhorn should like the turnback to a sprint. (3) Lucy McGee could be dangerous while racing fresh. (5) Aurora Sky cannot be overlooked. Betting strategy: 7 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-3-5-7.

5th race – (9) Judge Davis gets back on turf and is likely to turn in a better effort. (5) Just a Touch has Grade 1 talent on dirt but is untested on turf. (1) Maycocks Bay has speed and will be a danger from the rail. (3) Legalize is consistent and can make his presence felt. Betting strategy: 9 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-5-9.

7th race – (6) Coiled has a win at this marathon distance and looks best in this field. (8) Chapman’s Peak is untested at the distance but has talent. (9) Concord Green can work out a good trip here. (7) Faber should pose a late threat. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place. Exacta box: 6-7-8-9.

9th race – (1) Event Detail raced on Tapeta after a layoff and should be primed for a big effort on turf. (3) Common Defense ended 2025 in great form. Figures to be tough here. (10) Sand Pipes can be a threat with some racing luck from the outside. (5) Anglophile should be a factor in the final stages. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-5-10.