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Keeneland Select

Keeneland Hotlist - April 20

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

Hot List Key:

A : A preferred horse to watch                   B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

2nd race – (9) Aaralyn was bumped at the start and never fired. Deserves a second chance here. (2) Sailing is an interesting firster from Shug. (8) Princess Is Olivia has speed and can control the pace.  (7) Evocation will appreciate a return to dirt. Betting strategy: 9 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-7-8-9. Doubles: 2-7-8-9 with 3-4-6.

3rd race – (4) Mr Skylight was a sharp maiden winner and seems ready to face winners. (3) Motor City was a wide third and could be the main threat. (6) Iridescent belongs in the exotics. Betting strategy: 4 to win, place. Exacta box: 3-4-6.

5th race – (2) Divine Armor drops to a level where he can make a winning move. (6) Systemic Change looks like the main rival. (8) Fromanothamutha can wake up in a claimer. (1) Saqeel will benefit from a rail trip. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place.  Exacta box: 1-2-6-8.

8th race – The Visitlex Elkhorn Stakes (G2) - (4) Bold Act is a classy European and looks like the one to fear in this field. (10) Missed the Cut seeks a third straight win and should be the main foe. (11) Silver Knott cannot be ignored in this field. (7) Winning Spirit is another European invader who merits attention. Betting strategy: 4 to win, place.  Exacta box: 4-7-10-11. Doubles: 4-7-10-11 with 1-3-4-7.

9th race – The Ben Ali Stakes (G3) - (4) Kingsbarns (A) was an impressive winner off a long layoff and looks best here. (7) Dynamic One has a strong late kick and should be a key factor late. (3) Smile Happy seems due for a better effort. (1) Time for Trouble could be a problem from the rail. Betting strategy: 4 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-4-7.

No.Letter/Last raceToday’s race  Comment     
  (4)KingsbarnsA, 3/29 KeeLooked good after a layoff