Race 6 at Turfway Park | Saturday January 11 | Post Time 8:25 PM Eastern
Likely Exchange Stakes | Purse $1250,000 | Fillies and Mares, Four Years Olds and Upward | One Mile
Analysis and top contenders:
Earhart (2) has dominated in two races to date, winning by a combined margin of 18 lengths. Better still, in both races Earhart glided on the front end on faster than average fractions in fields of eight and never gave any other horse a shot as she was in front by six lengths with an eighth of a mile to run in both races. Both were on the similar all-weather at Woodbine, at seven furlongs, and from the two post with the horse inside having no early speed, Earhart should once again get an easy lead and never look back. The 101 Equibase Figure earned last out in her second career start is already the highest last race figure in the field, and it should be improved upon in the filly’s third career start. She shipped in from Canada four weeks ago and has been pointing to this race with three solid works over the track as well.
Everland (11) has a slight probability to win if Earhart can lead from start to finish, as she has shown a big kick at Turfway, where she has won three of six. The best of those wins came last March in the Bourbonette Oaks where she rallied from sixth of 10 to win, with a 100 Equibase Speed Figure. She’s in good recent form as she finished second of 10 in the My Charmer Stakes four weeks ago over the track with a 99 figure, so she is definitely the second most probable horse to win and if she doesn’t win, she is highly likely to finish second for an easy exacta.
Bets:
Win Bets –Earhart (2) at odds of 3 to 2 or higher.
Exacta: Earhart (2) over Everland (11), alsoBox Earhart (2) and Everland (11).