Keeneland Select

Kentucky Downs Hotlist - August 28

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

Hot List Key:

A : A preferred horse to watch                   B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

1st race – (4)  Backgammon gives turf a try and may be well suited by it. (9) Temple Goddess should appreciate the added distance. (3) Bounce is worth a look in his debut. (8) Aggressive Lime is working nicely for her debut. Betting strategy: 4 to win, place. Exacta box: 3-4-8-9.

3rd race – (1) Holy Foley missed by a neck at Saratoga and has the rail here. Looks best. (7) Stellify was freshened for this start. (5) Youknownothing should pose a late threat. (2) Parish Lane exits a stakes and cannot be ignored. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-5-7.

5th race – (5) Unreasonable comes off a nice win at the Spa and gets top billing. (7) Miwa switches barns and could rebound with a better try. (6) Kiss Blue will appreciate a return to turf. (8) Lucky Speech should be a factor at this level. Betting strategy: 5 to win, place. Exacta box: 5-6-7-8.

9th race – (11) Grade A should be suited by the distance. (7) Bunratty Manor could wake up in this spot. (1) Bundchen will be helped by a rail trip. (6) Mechaya may improve with Lasix. Betting strategy: 11 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-6-7-11. Doubles: 1-6-7-11 with 5-7-10-12.

10th race – The Keeneland Sales Tapit Stakes - (5) Mountain Bear had a rough trip last time and could rebound with a better effort here. (7) Cameo Performance adds blinkers and looks like the one to fear. (10) Astronomer can be a threat off his best try. (12) Nelson Avenue just missed last time and cannot be ignored. Betting strategy: 5 to win, place. Exacta box: 5-7-10-12