Keeneland Select

Pimlico at Laurel Tip Sheet - May 16

Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 66% of the time at this track.
 
 RACE #1    $58,000 Allowance Optional Claiming
 5 1/2 Furlongs ON THE Turf - POST TIME: 10:30 AM ET
 
BEST BET:  #2 BOUJEE BUBBLEZ
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN7-22Boujee BubblezY Hazlewood
PLACE6-18Gift of GabJ Toledo
SHOW8-57Epic StyleJ L Ortiz
WILD CARD30-16ItsamonstamashX Perez
 
ALTERNATE 130-14Sheilahs WarcloudR E Mena
ALTERNATE 215-15Secures HopeK Gomez
    
* EXACTA: 2-8 BOX, 8-7 BOX, 7-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/7/8 BOX, 6/7/8 BOX
    
 
 RACE #2    $58,000 Allowance Optional Claiming
 6 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 11:05 AM ET
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN6-51ABlue KingdomY Hazlewood
PLACE6-13WickeddivineJ Barbosa
SHOW8-112Grand OpeningC E Lopez
WILD CARD12-17Band CampJ Toledo
 
ALTERNATE 112-15SuremeanttoobeM J Sanchez
ALTERNATE 215-19Uncle CatJ E Vargas
    
* EXACTA: 1-3 BOX, 3-12 BOX, 12-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/12 BOX, 3/7/12 BOX
    
 
 RACE #3    $52,000 Maiden Special Weight
 1 Mile ON THE Turf - POST TIME: 11:41 AM ET
 
BEST BET:  #3 NAABAAHII
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN7-23NaabaahiiJ L Ortiz
PLACE5-21LimoY Hazlewood
SHOW4-14Master SommelierT Gaffalione
WILD CARD9-26Munny ProblemM J Sanchez
 
ALTERNATE 130-12Margies LastJ E Vargas
ALTERNATE 25-15ScannerI Ortiz Jr.
    
* EXACTA: 3-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/4 BOX, 1/4/6 BOX
    
 
 RACE #4    $125,000 Stakes
 6 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 12:16 PM ET
 
** BONUS COMMENTARY **  $125,000 SKIPAT STAKES
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN3-12Passage EastS Russell
PLACE5-23Kappa KappaJ R Velazquez
SHOW9-57ModoI Ortiz Jr.
WILD CARD8-11Striker Has DialR Santana Jr.
 
ALTERNATE 112-16Complexity JaneJ Toledo
ALTERNATE 28-14BenedettaJ L Ortiz
    
* EXACTA: 2,3,7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1,2,3,7 BOX
 
COMMENTS: PASSAGE EAST has fared well at Laurel with three wins and three seconds in six efforts. KAPPA KAPPA has been off since December but sharp workouts say she is ready. MODO ran faster fractions despite going a little longer in her last. STRIKER HAS DIAL won her lone race at Laurel and has the most back class in the field.
 
    
 
 RACE #5    $54,000 Allowance
 1 Mile ON THE Turf - POST TIME: 12:51 PM ET
 
BEST BET:  #4 SASSARI
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN5-24SassariM J Sanchez
PLACE10-15Serenity SongL Saez
SHOW6-13I Love GiraffesP Lopez
WILD CARD5-17Mambo QueenS Russell
 
ALTERNATE 130-114Lovely Lookin LiliJ Toledo
ALTERNATE 230-113Chilly GirlH Rea
    
* EXACTA: 4-5 BOX, 5-3 BOX, 3-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/4/5 BOX, 3/5/7 BOX
    
 
 RACE #6    $100,000 Stakes
 1 1/16 Miles ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 1:28 PM ET
 
** BONUS COMMENTARY **  $100,000 SIR BARTON STAKES
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN2-14Final StoryI Ortiz Jr.
PLACE9-22Big CuddleY Hazlewood
SHOW7-57Reagans HonorJ L Ortiz
WILD CARD6-13Lets Go LandoP Lopez
 
ALTERNATE 110-15Falcon JetS Russell
ALTERNATE 230-16Pont AvenM J Sanchez
    
* EXACTA: 4/2,3,5,7 KEY BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2,4,7/2,4/2,3,4,5,7
 
COMMENTS: FINAL STORY might get out to the lead and never give it up. BIG CUDDLE has been the betting favorite in each of his race. That will not be the case today and may prove to be the best value. REAGANS HONOR is undefeated in a pair at the distance and won them both with ease. LETS GO LANDO is a consistent performer and ran some faster early fractions in his most recent race.
 
    
 
 RACE #7    $150,000 Stakes
 6 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 2:07 PM ET
 
** BONUS COMMENTARY **  $150,000 CHICK LANG STAKES
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN3-16Shanes WonderM J Sanchez
PLACE6-54ObliterationJ L Ortiz
SHOW5-25IgniterI Ortiz Jr.
WILD CARD12-13Buds NotionJ E Vargas
 
ALTERNATE 130-17Top ManipulatorF Boyce
ALTERNATE 215-18Magic WalletV R Carrasco
    
* EXACTA: 3,4,5,6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3,4,5,6 BOX
 
COMMENTS: SHANES WONDER faces his hardest competition for sure but you just do not know how good a horse is until it loses. OBLITERATION finished fourth in the Breeders Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint and last ran in the Saudi Derby. IGNITER usually makes a strong mid move and backs it up with enough late pace to close it out. BUDS NOTION tied for the highest last race speed figure and has a pair of maintenance works since.
 
    
 
 RACE #8    $150,000 Stakes
 6 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 2:48 PM ET
 
** BONUS COMMENTARY **  $150,000 MARYLAND SPRINT GRADE III
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN7-24HaileysfirstnotionJ E Vargas
PLACE9-22Faster GatorI Ortiz Jr.
SHOW9-26Celtic ContenderF Boyce
WILD CARD4-15FloodlitesJ R Velazquez
 
ALTERNATE 15-18Slam NotionJ Toledo
ALTERNATE 28-13FaustJ L Ortiz
    
* EXACTA: 2,4,5,6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2,4,6/2,4,6/2,4,5,6,8
 
COMMENTS: HAILEYSFIRSTNOTION finished in the money nine of nine at the distance. FASTER GATOR has been off since November but won all three races off the sidelines. CELTIC CONTENDER tied for the highest last race speed figure and should be involved from start to finish. FLOODLITES makes two starts in a row for only the second time and improved in the other second up.
 
    
 
 RACE #9    $100,000 Stakes
 1 Mile ON THE Turf - POST TIME: 3:30 PM ET
 
** BONUS COMMENTARY **  $100,000 JAMES MURPHY STAKES
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN6-13ZihnalI Ortiz Jr.
PLACE9-55ProtonJ R Velazquez
SHOW9-24AttfieldR Santana Jr.
WILD CARD5-26Turf StarJ Ruiz
 
ALTERNATE 110-11My Favorite BirdF Prat
ALTERNATE 26-12ThebabeslayerJ L Ortiz
    
* EXACTA: 3,4,5,6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3,5/3,4,5,6/1,2,3,4,5,6
 
COMMENTS: ZIHNAL might seem like a crazy pick since he makes only his second start and did not win his maiden. However, he did run the highest last race speed figure by 4 points. PROTON won his only trip across Laurel grass as the 70 cent favorite. ATTFIELD has the most grass back class in the field and is the only with a race on par with this level. TURF STAR drops from the Grade III Jeff Ruby Steaks and goes back to turf which he appears to prefer.
 
    
 
 RACE #10    $250,000 Stakes
 1 1/8 Miles ON THE Turf - POST TIME: 4:11 PM ET
 
** BONUS COMMENTARY **  $250,000 DINNER PARTY STAKES GRADE III
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN9-53Cruise the NileJ Ruiz
PLACE7-56Dresden RowF Prat
SHOW7-24Fort WashingtonJ Alvarado
WILD CARD12-17HarrowT Gaffalione
 
ALTERNATE 112-15A Bourbon for TobyI Ortiz Jr.
ALTERNATE 215-12ThunderingP Lopez
    
* EXACTA: 3,4,6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3,4,6/3,4/3,4,5,6,7
 
COMMENTS: CRUISE THE NILE could cruise to the front on modest to slow fractions and stay there all the way around the track. DRESDEN ROW could ride shotgun until the stretch and try to run on by late. FORT WASHINGTON has the best late legs of the closers and strong works prepping. HARROW ran faster fractions last time out and could be improved in the second off the sidelines.
 
    
 
 RACE #11    $150,000 Stakes
 1 1/16 Miles ON THE Turf - POST TIME: 4:53 PM ET
 
** BONUS COMMENTARY **  $150,000 GALLORETTE STAKES GRADE III
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN3-13AccentF Prat
PLACE5-18Awesome CzechR Santana Jr.
SHOW5-27Child of the MoonI Ortiz Jr.
WILD CARD7-25AustereT Gaffalione
 
ALTERNATE 16-12RibaltagaiaJ Alvarado
ALTERNATE 212-16Cheetah LadyJ L Ortiz
    
* EXACTA: 2,3,5,7,8/3,8
* TRIFECTA: 3,5,7,8/3,7,8/2,3,5,7,8
 
COMMENTS: ACCENT upped her speed figure in her three races following her debut. AWESOME CZECH could get an ideal trip sitting behind one frontrunner and then kicking home in the stretch. CHILD OF THE MOON is super consistent and has faced the toughest schedule but seems to come up just a little short since returning from an extended layoff. AUSTERE could sneak to the front like she did in her last as steal this on easy fractions.
 
    
 
 RACE #12    $125,000 Stakes
 5 1/2 Furlongs ON THE Turf - POST TIME: 5:52 PM ET
 
** BONUS COMMENTARY **  $125,000 JIM MCKAY TURF SPRINT STAKES
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN3-14Chasing LibertyI Ortiz Jr.
PLACE5-13Jean ValjeanF Prat
SHOW8-111Had to Have HimJ Toledo
WILD CARD4-11Run Curtis RunT Gaffalione
 
ALTERNATE 15-18Outlaw KidJ Ruiz
ALTERNATE 26-12Determined KingdomJ L Ortiz
    
* EXACTA: 1,3,4,11 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3,4,11/1,3,4,11/1,2,3,4,8,11
 
COMMENTS: CHASING LIBERTY should be as good but maybe better in the second start after a layoff. JEAN VALJEAN should be out on the front and shas a legit shot to stay there. HAD TO HAVE HIM is the Smart Sheets favorite and could get the best trip according to C ZONE rankings. RUN CURTIS RUN has the biggest in race edge of more than a length of late speed.
 
    
 
 RACE #13    $2,000,000 Stakes
 1 3/16 Miles ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 7:01 PM ET
 
** BONUS COMMENTARY **  $2M PREAKNESS STAKES GRADE I
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN5-112IncrediboltJ A Torres
PLACE5-11Taj MahalS Russell
SHOW9-29Iron HonorF Prat
WILD CARD5-16Chip HonchoJ L Ortiz
 
ALTERNATE 16-12OcelliT Gaffalione
ALTERNATE 215-17The Hell We DidL Saez
    
* EXACTA: 1,9,12/1,2,6,9,12
* TRIFECTA: 1,9,12/1,2,6,9,12/1,2,6,9,12
 
COMMENTS: Two of INCREDIBOLTs three wins came in second starts after a layoff, just like today. TAJ MAHAL is undefeated in three and made easy work of it in two. He has room for more here. IRON HONOR just needs to find the form from his either of his first two races to score for trainer Chad Brown. CHIP HONCHO has been off since the Louisiana Dery and has been working well getting prepped.
 
    
 
 RACE #14    $52,000 Maiden Special Weight
 6 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 7:43 PM ET
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN9-28Holy Moly MitoleC Maldonado
PLACE4-14BrunoJ Toledo
SHOW3-16Grant the GreatP Lopez
WILD CARD6-13Love YourselfY Hazlewood
 
ALTERNATE 16-19Mister Monday NiteM J Sanchez
ALTERNATE 215-15Start TappinJ G Briceno
    
* EXACTA: 8-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/6/8 BOX, 3/4/6 BOX

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