Keeneland Select

Saratoga Hotlist - July 16

By Matt Shifman and Bob Ehalt

Hot List Key:
 A:
A preferred horse to watch                         B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

4th race [NY, Md Sp Wt, 1 1/8 mi] – (4) Kaz Oil Changer (B) was second in his debut last month well clear of the rest of the field behind a horse that came back to run third in the first-level state-bred allowance. (5) Iron Dome made her first start against NY-breds after three starts at Oaklawn Park and finished third at the Saratoga June meeting. (2) Undisputed was second on a fast track going a mile two races back. (7) Solo Dancing was third in his debut last month after getting pinched back to a distant last.

7th race [Md Sp Wt, 7F] – (3) Mainstream (A) had the lead after a bad stumble at the start, missed by a head after getting passed by a Mott runner at Saratoga in June as the odds-on favorite, and ran on a sloppy sealed track for the second time. (1) Duration had the highest speed figure in the field in May that towers over this field. (2) Tap Into This finished in the top three in all five of his starts for Steve Asmussen. (5) Time Passes had the lead and ended up fourth in May.

8th race [Alw 20000s, 1 1/8 mi] – (1) Double Your Money finished first or second in his last eight starts at Parx including a win by six lengths with a top speed figure for him and this field. (8) Gilmore had a first and a second at Churchill in similar starter allowance conditions. (5) Alternate Reality gets significant class relief dropping from a third in a second-level allowance at Saratoga in June. He was claimed in April for $40,000. (7) Chelonian won his last two starts for $32,000 and was claimed from a win.

9th race [NY, Suzie O’Cain 1 1/16 mi TURF] – (2) Mommy’s Turn (A) got bumped and pushed out in the stretch which cost her the win in a blanket finish at Aqueduct last month when she ran second by a nose. (5) Charlotte’s Heart was second in a NY-bred stakes at Saratoga in June on the dirt. She broke her maiden last summer on the turf at the Spa. (9) Disco Star was third in the Take the A Train stakes at Aqueduct in May against open company. (7) Marvelous Madison was a debut winner on turf at Saratoga last year and then tried a Grade 2. She made her first start of 2025 in that A Train.

Best bets: Mainstream (7th); Mommy’s Turn (9th). Best value: Kaz Oil Changer (4th); Double Your Money (8th).

No.NameLetter/
last race
Today's RaceComments
(4)Kaz Oil ChangerB on 6/124Second in his debut well clear of the rest of the field.
(3)MainstreamA on 6/77Had the lead after a bad stumble at the start.
(2)Mommy’s TurnA on 6/129Bumped and pushed out in a blanket finish.