Keeneland Select

Saratoga Hotlist - July 16

By Matt Shifman and Bob Ehalt

Hot List Key:
 A:
A preferred horse to watch                         B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

2nd race [NY, Md Sp Wt, 1 mi] – (2) Term Premium (A) broke slowly in his June debut, rallied seven wide, and finished second behind his favored stablemate from the Chad Brown barn. (4) Irish Goodbye finished second in all three starts including last month at Saratoga. (5) Roadie rallied from far back to be fourth in his first race of the year. (1) Bakuto comes back from an April layoff for a trainer that is red hot to start the summer meeting.

4th race [Md 100000, 1 mi TURF] – (6) Chester Boy (A) got shut off in the stretch between horses, had to change paths, and finished fourth three weeks ago. (9) Franklin Delano will drop in for a tag for the first time after pressing the pace in his prior starts and blinkers go on. (1) Arabian Power set the pace in a pair of maiden claimers at Churchill Downs and finished second both times. (8) Minotaur will run for a tag for the first time and was last seen at Keeneland in April.

6th race [Md Sp Wt, 1 1/8 mi] – (5) Moonlit (A) got stuck in traffic on the rail and finished second behind a horse that came back to win its next start. (2) Prairie Princess (B) was off to a slow start in her May debut and then took a bad step while beginning to rally. Blinkers go on. (4) Ati Girl stalked the pace in a pair of starts at Churchill and finished second. (6) Pippa Adds will stretch out after a pair of top three finishes going seven furlongs.

7th race [Clm 35000 N2L, 1 1/16 mi TURF] – (5) Take a Stance (A) tossed his head while under tight restraint and finished third in June. (3) Bold Love (B) moves back to the turf after racing 19 days ago when he went eight wide and finish second as the favorite and got claimed for $30,000. (6) Vintage Vino broke his maiden for a $50,000 tag, then raced in a series of starter allowances, and drops into an appropriate claimer. (7) Ciro di Marzio returns from a year layoff when he was second in an Ellis Park allowance.

Best bets: Term Premium (2nd); Chester Boy (4th). Best value: Moonlit (6th); Take a Stance (7th).

No.NameLetter/
last race
Today's RaceComments
(2)Term PremiumA on 6/112Broke slowly in his debut and ran second.
(6)Chester BoyA on 6/264Got shut off in the stretch three weeks ago.
(10)Steam ItB on 4/104Entered for Main Track Only.
(2)Prairie PrincessB on 5/106Had a troubled trip in her first start.
(5)MoonlitA on 4/306Got stuck in traffic and finished second.
(3)Bold LoveB on 6/277Went eight wide while running a close second.
(5)Take a StanceB on 6/147Rank under tight restraint last month.
(9)Whatta WeekendC on 6/119Set the pace and got second in his first start of the year.