1st Race
7-5-4-3. Lasting Legacy comes off arguably his best race and the barn already has shipped in a winner from the mid-Atlantic circuit this month. Jose Ortiz taking the mount is an encouraging signal, too. No standouts in this group, so take a long look at Most Probable. His last two races show improved Beyer figures and this one has good early speed. He'll likely be overlooked on the switch from Belterra Park but McKee is a very good rider. One More Time comes from the Baffert barn but those last two starts don't offer much encouragement. Terre Haute tries dirt for the first time and the Ennis barn is due for a little good luck, as they have six third-place finishes at this meet. The cutback in distance could help this one.
2nd Race
8-3-9. Sassy Princess was a good third to a next-out winner in her last start and she won in her only race over this track. Our Liberty Belle comes off a long layoff but the Sharp barn has good numbers in this situation and this mare has eight wins to her credit. Sweet Note was claimed out of her last and she's held her own against the top pick in two different races.
3rd Race
4-1-7. Soccer Socks drops in class and is well-drawn for this race with a short run to the first turn. And the Cox barn has a high win rate with this class move. Devious Lady should show speed off those two sprints and that could be a big asset from the inside post and the Calhoun barn has hit the board with half of their starters here this fall. Clever One has faced a little better competition in her last two and she was bet in both starts.
4th Race
4-5-8. Tarantino had a nice win on this track on opening weekend and I like run backs who are in good form. Stablemate Ghazaaaly has better Beyer figures than the top choice but he's only four-for-28 in his career. Break Out ships in from Colonial with some impressive Beyer figures for this level and he's finished in the top two in 11 of 18 starts.
5th Race
8-6-5. Easy Wind makes the second start off a long layoff and this one was competing stakes-caliber runners previously. If he improves off that comeback effort, he'll be tough to beat. Ghostwritten was claimed two starts back by the Davis barn and he then ran well in his first try against winners for the new trainer. VItruvian Man drops out of some much tougher fields and he's shown decent form on the main track.
6th Race
3-8-1. Justico debuts for Baffert and the workouts suggest this one will be ready to fire first time out. TV Time Out has run well in all three starts and that experience is a big plus against a field of mostly first-time starters. Tarkanian is a firster for the Ward barn and that's a 27 percent win rate for this team.
7th Race
8-10-3-1. Gun Barrel City looked like he could be a winner turning for home last time at Kentucky Downs but the 12-furlong distance seemed to be too much to handle that day. This shorter trip should make him dangerous in the second start since moving into the Maker barn. 10-Quick Pick had a nice win last time but now faces winners for the first time from a tough post.
8th Race
6-2-5. In the Dean Dorton Myrtlewood Stakes, Stress Relief won a grade 3 at Saratoga and then turned in a solid effort against grade 1 company in a race in which she was too far back early. Saez should have her closer today. 2-Miss Anna ran well last time in stakes company and won by six in her previous outing. Angel of Kirk won her debut impressively and finished right with the top choice last time.
9th Race
5-1-3. It will take some doing to beat Sister Troienne in the grade 2 Bank of America Valley View Stakes today. She just missed getting the win in her first start off a long layoff and she's run well in graded stakes company. Ultimate Love has a 3-2-0 record nine starts and has faced some tough fields. She had trouble at the start last time and posted an 87 Beyer figure in the previous start so she could offer a strong challenge to the top pick. Define was sent to the grade 1 Del Mar Oaks off a maiden win so the connections had a high opinion of her ability.
10th Race
9-5-3. Fast Gun may find this competition a little softer than she's faced recently and Jose Ortiz taking the ride is a plus, too. The one's early speed should help her navigate a trip from the outside post. 5-Sesasi makes her second start for Pletcher and should welcome the added distance. 3-Cynical Humor is bred to relish added ground, too and she's drawn well for her late-running style.
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