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Expert Picks

Kim Nelson

Kim Nelson has worked with horses all her life. She rode hunter jumpers as a child and teenager. She then moved on to work for North Ridge Farm learning the basics with mares, foals and yearlings. She has worked through the years for Carl Nafzger, Adena Springs, The Daily Racing Form and Marylou Whitney Stables. Keeneland has always been the home track for Kim and this will be her 14 year anniversary handicapping the spring and fall meets.

Saturday, October 03, 2026

The $3 Keeneland Turf Pick 3 Races 6,8,10

All Stakes Pick 5 Races 6,7,8,9,10

All Stakes Pick 4 Races 7,8,9,10

 

1st Race

Top Picks #4, #2 and #6

#4 Dream Machine's last Beyer Speed figure is much the best of this field. Hard to look past. #2 Commentate adds Lasix for his 2nd career start. He shows sharp works over the local going. #6 Noble Anthem add blinkers for this event and he too has several sharp works over the Keeneland main course.

2nd Race

Top Picks #1, #4 and #6

#1 Chancery is the early 8-5 favorite. He was a clear winner at first asking and has since posted a bullet work over the track. #4 Never Sleep fell apart in his last over the Kentucky Downs course but back on dirt here. Two back he was a gate to wire winner sprinting on the dirt. #6 Maker of Mischief showed promise in his debut win.

3rd Race

Top Picks #11, #4 and #3

#11 Tulip just missed at this distance last out after showing the way. Expect another front end performance and could prove tough to catch this time. #4 Paseo while taking her time getting the maiden win, do note she hasn't missed a check in 6 starts this year. This distance should suit her closing stride and like that Hernandez has been in the irons for every start this year. #3 Market Chill comes over with the formidable team of the Brown barn and Irad Ortiz in the irons. A good one to use in exotics.  

4th Race

Top Picks #4, #2 and #3

#4 Durante is 2nd off the layoff and expect him to improve off that one. He is a tough competitor that has kept the best of company in past form and has held his own. Like that Irad Ortiz, Jr lands here. #2 Floodlites is the early 7-5 favorite that can boast being 2 for 2 over the Keeneland dirt. Top connections bring him over. #3 C K Wonder a winner in his last start posting a strong 90 Beyer Speed figure. He is a player.

5th Race

Top Picks #2, #9 and #10

#2 Render Judgment has been in good form this year and this looks like a spot that should suit him. Consistent Beyers in the 90s and like his chances. #9 Bullard exits Graded stakes company and should appreciate the drop in class. Competitive at this level in past form and have to keep in the mix. #10 Who Dey seldom misses a spot on the board. Just missed in his last and expect him to show up sharp here.

6th Race

Top Picks #10, #6 and #3

#10 Doncho was beaten a neck to finish 3rd in his last facing Grade 2 company. He caught a tough trip down the lane in that one with the 2nd place finisher being disqualified. He's looking to get the win here. #6 Joe Shiesty has consistently posted triple digit Beyers in recent form. He has the early foot to show the way and the field will have to chase him down. #3 No Nay Hudson is a Graded Stakes winner and is proven over the Keeneland lawn. This hardknocking gelding always deserves a look. 

7th Race

Top Picks #6, #7 and #1

#6 Eclatant is the early 6-5 favorite and is 2 for 2 over the Keeneland main track. She faltered in her last but look for her to get back track with Irad Ortiz back in the irons. #7 Echo Sound is a MGSW that is capable of bringing a strong run down the lane. She's the one to use at 5-2 or better. #1 Praying won this race last year and although her last 2 races haven't been successful still would keep her in exotics. 

8th Race

Top Picks #8, #4 and #10

#8 Segesta loves the Keeneland grass and this distance. She's a winner of over $1.6 million and like her to pick up another Grade 1 here. #4 Expensive Queen dead heated with Segesta for the win in the Grade 1 JennyWiley here in the spring. She is 3 for 3 this year and comes into this race fresh. #10 Bless the Broken is another winner of over $1.6 million and has been keeping the toughest of company. Shouldn't be overlooked. 

9th Race

Top Picks #1, #2 and #6

#1 Coach Pope smoked his competition to break his maiden last out. Word is he is the real deal. #2 Q B Rocket was an easy gate to wire winner in his debut. $1.5 million Keeneland September yearling purchase. #6 American History another big debut winner for the Pletcher team. 

10th Race

Top Picks #9, #3 and #2

#9 Zulu Kingdom can boast triple digit Beyer Speed figures in his last 2 races and can't bet against him here. #3 Rhetorical won this race last year and has kept up his Graded Stakes competitiveness since. He is 2nd off the layoff and looks capable of a repeat win. #2 Brilliant Berti is a distance specialist and a solid contender.

11th Race

Top Picks #3, #1 and #11

#3 Rock Your Dreams has an impressive work tab over the Keeneland main course. Looks the part. #1 Niosa has been turning in solid works for her debut. Inside post could be tough but give her a look. #11 Life On Marz has a shot to land a share.

Saturday, October 03, 2026